Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.061609 2.367158 2.705537 3.108596 3.576334 4.102873 4.741731
2025-05-18 1.579426 1.982219 2.472219 3.114558 3.937973 4.962828 6.342497
2025-05-25 1.283460 1.708913 2.259997 3.030702 4.088067 5.498400 7.539722
2025-06-01 1.124404 1.571200 2.180466 3.079323 4.384172 6.228564 9.066952
2025-06-08 1.010702 1.472224 2.130131 3.146887 4.697613 7.004352 10.752630
2025-06-15 0.905022 1.367133 2.052064 3.154916 4.912385 7.648650 12.317760
2025-06-22 0.801068 1.249711 1.938084 3.087803 4.993451 8.084891 13.599290
2025-06-29 0.720396 1.157665 1.850339 3.047155 5.104832 8.573689 15.024878
2025-07-06 0.647560 1.069260 1.757126 2.983395 5.164395 8.974927 16.343377
2025-07-13 0.624312 1.059691 1.791356 3.138068 5.618047 10.113475 19.164672
2025-07-20 0.577688 1.004848 1.741987 3.138065 5.790373 10.760241 21.139231
2025-07-27 0.549767 0.979584 1.740947 3.224207 6.130750 11.759983 23.954389
2025-08-03 0.505168 0.924569 1.689455 3.227463 6.348034 12.621507 26.788031
2025-08-10 0.464036 0.872473 1.639557 3.232123 6.579648 13.570399 30.043930
2025-08-17 0.417559 0.804393 1.550441 3.144955 6.606268 14.090752 32.432906
2025-08-24 0.391725 0.773504 1.529982 3.195532 6.932625 15.308853 36.687852
2025-08-31 0.370524 0.749316 1.519785 3.265821 7.311980 16.705631 41.660593
2025-09-07 0.345693 0.714725 1.483802 3.274174 7.550112 17.810400 46.116432
2025-09-14 0.316774 0.668274 1.417255 3.204354 7.592560 18.448139 49.464099
2025-09-21 0.293091 0.630600 1.365545 3.162068 7.695515 19.253093 53.442404
2025-09-28 0.269984 0.591763 1.306968 3.095742 7.728298 19.882477 57.053561
2025-10-05 0.264873 0.592994 1.339598 3.256646 8.371978 22.245461 66.346558
2025-10-12 0.249375 0.568582 1.309748 3.256643 8.588188 23.472298 72.414841